What is "Weakness?"
Thursday, November 16, 2006 at 03:27PM
Sorry folks, computer problems and blogger being down for maintenance delayed this amazingly insightful post. My sincere apologies...
The Harami
A Harami is a two day pattern that has a small body day completely contained within the range of the previous body, and is the opposite color.
For those who have taken trades without a concrete exit I am sure your exit was to "wait for a sign of weakness." As we looked at LVS the other day, we know now what weakness is not. So exactly, what is it?
I am going to throw a few things at you to determine in a bullish trending stock what a sign of weakness is. Candlesticks are the best way to determine weakness and here are some of the most common signals.
Hanging Man candlesticks form when a security moves significantly lower after the open, but rallies to close well above the intraday low. The resulting candlestick looks like a square lollipop with a long stick. If this candlestick forms during a decline, then it is called a Hammer.
The Engulfing Pattern
The Engulfing Pattern is a reversal pattern that can be bearish or bullish depending upon whether it is in an uptrend or downtrend. The first day is characterized by a small body, followed by a day whose body completely engulfs the previous day's body.
The Shooting Star
Shooting Star A single day pattern that can appear in an uptrend. It opens higher, trades much higher, then closes near its open. It looks just like the Inverted Hammer except that it is bearish.
The Engulfing PatternThe Engulfing Pattern is a reversal pattern that can be bearish or bullish depending upon whether it is in an uptrend or downtrend. The first day is characterized by a small body, followed by a day whose body completely engulfs the previous day's body.
The Shooting StarShooting Star A single day pattern that can appear in an uptrend. It opens higher, trades much higher, then closes near its open. It looks just like the Inverted Hammer except that it is bearish.
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The HaramiA Harami is a two day pattern that has a small body day completely contained within the range of the previous body, and is the opposite color.
An Evening Star is a bearish reversal pattern that continues an uptrend with a long white body day followed by a gapped up small body day, then a down close with the close below the midpoint of the first day.
The Dark Cloud Cover is a bearish reversal pattern that continues the uptrend with a long white body. The next day opens at a new high then closes below the midpoint of the body of the first day.
There are plenty more to discuss, but this is all I had time for. Hoefully this reinforces the reasons candlesticks are valuable and supplements what you have studied through technical analysis. Who wants to pick the next topic of discussion?
References (1)
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Reader Comments (13)
vincentgrisanti@bellsouth.net
Topic idea? How about the breakout trade entry vs a wait for retest to enter? ALways a stressful time for me.
Some ideas:
NEU
BCR
STT
X
KNX
NKE
POOL
Thanks again for the awesome site!!!
Sarah
For topic, when to add to an existing position(one going in your direction). I find some time it is easier to add to an existing position if it is going in your direction Vs enterering a new trade.
thanks
raaj
do aapl!
big love to ya Jeff!
John
John M.
Perhaps you should get a book on the topic? There are several that go into more detail on these formations. I am sure Jeff has plenty to do as it is. Thanks for the post Jeff!
TJ
Dave
Thoughts?
Thanks,
Honu Mike
"Japanese Candlesticks" by Steve Nison was a good read to follow up on the technical class of candlesticks. It isn't difficult to follow and uses several examples. I think he also has a workbook that goes along with the text.
www.americanbulls.com also explains candlesticks and you can look up stocks in their current market condition for examples.
I hope this helps...
Amy Myers
Besides the certan candlesticks and decreasing volume, what other specific signs of weakness do you focus on in a short term trade?
Thanks...
Danuta
I've always been cofused why the hanging man candle is bearish. It starts out bullish, the bears bring it down during the day yet the bulls take control to bring it back up before the close. Why is that considered weakness or bearish?
Thanks....
Karen