Blogasm
Monday, October 22, 2007 at 10:55AM
I had a request to speak about diversification. Normally, on a Monday special requests are denied. However, it is not like this is a complicated topic...or at least this is not a topic that should be complicated.
How you approach diversity in your portfolio is your own business. But if you are building a portfolio of owning different investments such as ETF's, Equities, Gold, Bonds, etc...try to assign a delta to your portfolio. Confused? If you own 1 share of stock, you have a delta of 1. If you own one share of ten stocks, you have a delta of 10. If you own one share of ten stocks, and one call option on another stock...you get the point. If you are confused as to why many of you lost your ass-ets on Friday, plain and simple- you owned too much.
Diversify.
The last big drop in the market I went out and gave specifics as to how I survive in the market. I opened your eyes to my portfolio specifics. And while I am not about to do it again, I want you to understand the idea behind it. Last week (Monday) I mentioned how I was bearish for the upcoming week, and traded accordingly. I took bearish positions (negative delta) on trades that were highly correlated to the market, and other bearish positions that were going down regardless of the market. At the same time, I still took bullish positions (positive delta) on stocks that were moving higher. I try and stay neutral (offset delta) to the market. This is the only way you will survive as a directional trader. If you own too much, and by design your trades are intended to be profitable moving in only one direction, a day like Friday will eat you and all of your money.
Many of you spend too much time worrying about things like other peoples trading signals, what price pattern it is you are looking at, which strike price to select, how to read implied volatility, etc when you haven't constructed the basic tenets of portfolio management or asset allocation.
Shame on you.
To your defense, I can't make any assumptions when I have no idea what your time frame is, what your financial standing is, your risk tolerance, your investing objectives, or anything else looks like about you. What I do know is this... I don't care who you are or what you are trying to accomplish, you will not last long in the pursuit of becoming a decent trader without creating a firm foundation of these basic principles, which are...
Risk management- Plan your loss before planning your profit.
Diversification- Be bullish, be bearish, be involved in various groups/markets.
Proper Position Sizing- Trade small, trade safe.
Effective Trading Plan- Make sure your plan works, and/or makes money.
Cutting Losses Short- Enter a trade that offers a small loss.
Letting Winners Run- Don't kill your winners.
Curbing Your Emotion- This is a bi product of trading small.
Since I have spent the last ten years of my life developing and optimizing all of the above, I am able to do this (see below) on a day like today... or any other day for that matter.
Recommendation: Give your account the same foundation so you can participate in the activity above.
Long: My rules
Short: My emotion
Disclaimer: If you got emotional and closed good positions this morning, or shorted "mother market"... again, shame on you.
Update: If you took any part of this post personal, don't. You know I am not in the business of attacking, just trying to get a message across. If I were mad, I wouldn't have addressed it at all.. When all else fails, "Fresh Tactics."
How you approach diversity in your portfolio is your own business. But if you are building a portfolio of owning different investments such as ETF's, Equities, Gold, Bonds, etc...try to assign a delta to your portfolio. Confused? If you own 1 share of stock, you have a delta of 1. If you own one share of ten stocks, you have a delta of 10. If you own one share of ten stocks, and one call option on another stock...you get the point. If you are confused as to why many of you lost your ass-ets on Friday, plain and simple- you owned too much.
Diversify.
The last big drop in the market I went out and gave specifics as to how I survive in the market. I opened your eyes to my portfolio specifics. And while I am not about to do it again, I want you to understand the idea behind it. Last week (Monday) I mentioned how I was bearish for the upcoming week, and traded accordingly. I took bearish positions (negative delta) on trades that were highly correlated to the market, and other bearish positions that were going down regardless of the market. At the same time, I still took bullish positions (positive delta) on stocks that were moving higher. I try and stay neutral (offset delta) to the market. This is the only way you will survive as a directional trader. If you own too much, and by design your trades are intended to be profitable moving in only one direction, a day like Friday will eat you and all of your money.
Many of you spend too much time worrying about things like other peoples trading signals, what price pattern it is you are looking at, which strike price to select, how to read implied volatility, etc when you haven't constructed the basic tenets of portfolio management or asset allocation.
Shame on you.
To your defense, I can't make any assumptions when I have no idea what your time frame is, what your financial standing is, your risk tolerance, your investing objectives, or anything else looks like about you. What I do know is this... I don't care who you are or what you are trying to accomplish, you will not last long in the pursuit of becoming a decent trader without creating a firm foundation of these basic principles, which are...
Risk management- Plan your loss before planning your profit.
Diversification- Be bullish, be bearish, be involved in various groups/markets.
Proper Position Sizing- Trade small, trade safe.
Effective Trading Plan- Make sure your plan works, and/or makes money.
Cutting Losses Short- Enter a trade that offers a small loss.
Letting Winners Run- Don't kill your winners.
Curbing Your Emotion- This is a bi product of trading small.
Since I have spent the last ten years of my life developing and optimizing all of the above, I am able to do this (see below) on a day like today... or any other day for that matter.
Recommendation: Give your account the same foundation so you can participate in the activity above.
Long: My rules
Short: My emotion
Disclaimer: If you got emotional and closed good positions this morning, or shorted "mother market"... again, shame on you.
Update: If you took any part of this post personal, don't. You know I am not in the business of attacking, just trying to get a message across. If I were mad, I wouldn't have addressed it at all.. When all else fails, "Fresh Tactics."








Reader Comments (116)
Oh yeah, Chris, I saw your little smarty pants comment in the last thread that was directed at me you big poo-poo head! :)
Thanks for sharing again more details on diversification. I asked again because I clearly did not get it the first few times. I am printing out this response, along with the last one you gave, to study and figure out where I went wrong on diversification.
Thanks,
Michelle
Thanks, Jeff, I know I needed that.
liz
I am not whooping on anyone, just trying to re-iterate the same principles I teach everyday. You know I am not in the business of chewing anyone out, just trying to get a message across. If I were mad, I wouldn't have addressed it at all.
Remember, when all else fails...
Fresh Tactics.
THanks, I needed that.
Question: When you said you took bearish trades that were highly correlated to the market - can you give an example of that? Were you talking about index puts or something else?
Short: Poo-Poo Heads
Please don't misunderstand my comment, it wasn't a negative comment. I have read this entry of yours 3 times and each time I see something new. Something that I should have been doing and something that I should not have been doing.
Good stuff.
I don't think that you are mad at all. You have children, I have children. Although we are not your children, the principle is the same. We correct because we care and we want them to do better. That's what I heard in your post.
Friday was bad for me because I simply got too big for my brithces and paid the price. It was a learning experience and I am glad for it.
I can't express my appreciation for all that this blog has afforded me.
Thank-you, Jeff.
Yes, that can be something like the Q's, the SPX, index futures, or perhaps a stock that trades with the movement of the averages.
Ditto what Laney said. I appreciate this blog very, very much...
Understood. Some are easily offended by my directness and I wanted to hedge that trainwreck before it happens. The reaction to my actions are usually boatloads of e-mails.
Not today.
we are struggling and learning ...and will try to do better..
I am compilling a Jeff Bible...
Mimosa
As a matter of fact...Put is going to be my middle name.
I will be the Master of Disaster from this point forward.
Thanks Jeff, I think I got it THIS TIME
Take me as an example so that others might prosper. As you may know (Awesome weekend seeking Natural Resources notwithstanding) I am having a cruddy (how bout that instead of profanity) Friday/Monday, I closed some positions this morning. I should have closed them Friday but I didn't so I just magnified the problem! I broke a rule and sold in the first hour. I SUCK!
I feel shame.
ART
Call it LEE. It's your rule now, time to own it. Ramio learned the concept, and made it his own. Very admirable.
Mimosa,
No need to Bow, just make sure you heard me. Barry did.
ART,
At least you had a great weekend.
I am a bit confused by my account hit as I thought I did just what you outlined but several of my puts crossed the line and acted like calls. With this I did own too much but I was fairly balanced calls to puts, had stock, different industries, Gold, even SHV but no EFTs. Still I got kicked in the teeth (sorry not a good visual). I think I need to walk through this with someone and will see if an IT will help. Stops today killed me.
I heard you. Everytime I read your message, I seem to learn something new..I need to digest, and disciple myself more.
what happened to your post? the grey box is gone.. and we are still waiting for the new blog!!
Mimosa