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My name is Jeff Kohler, and I am an Option Addict. I make money in the options market. Don't believe me? Watch me.

 

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« Closing Thoughts | Main | Wednesday »

iRock

As I pondered this morning what I should blog about today a couple different thoughts had entered my mind as usual. I could regurgitate meaningless financial news, follow up on trades, present a few new ideas I took this morning or I could discuss how much I rule.

I choose the latter.

The reason I want to talk candidly about myself is that I have just realized I am in an incredible winning streak. Given the market climate here, it showcases a knack for picking winners. Going back over the last month (post Chicago) I tallied up all the wins/losses.

Allow me to share the percentage movements in the underlying since I have spoken about them here on the blog...

WYNN: +3.29%
PAYX: +3.93%
OII: +16.53
MA: +5.25%
GMCR: the initial stock trade: +59.32% since recently mentioned -.86%
AZO: +5.73%
ONXX: +20.36%
KLAC: still waiting for a signal
FXI: +.65%
BIIB: +8.29%
GLDN: initial trade from last year +115%, Since recently mentioned+8.25%
GRMN: initial trade from June +68.44%, Since recently mentioned +9.18%
MTG: +11.13%
OMG: +13.3%
RIMM: +4.37%
VMI: +4.70%
CNH: -3.45%
ICE: +2.14% (but I took a loss)
SGR: -6.12% (I took a smaller loss)
ATI: -.51% (I took a slightly bigger loss)

I was too lazy to incorporate all the ideas from the videos, but those who were following noticed some pretty strong movers in there, only a few losses, and several still waiting for trading signals. You know, the usual.

In case you missed Mastertalk last night, here were the ideas I presented...

SHLD (Vertical Spread Sept 145/150)

LFG (Long Puts)
GNK (Long Stock)

FSTR (Long Stock)

GLYT (Long Puts/Vertical Spread Sept 70/75)

I also ran across a job opening I am going to apply for at the end of the month. It won't effect my status here on the blog, but it might conflict with my teaching schedule.

Stay tuned...

Recommendation: "Pride is a great banana peel, as are hope, fear, and greed."- Ed Seykota

Long: Myself

Short: Ed Seykota

Disclaimer: You know the drill, once you get complacent about the market...this is what happens.


References (1)

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  • Response
    Interesting post on the subject matter! Thanks for sharing this information.

Reader Comments (223)

Took my profits on AMZN today. It has been up several days in a row. It is due a bounce.
Just something Eric mentioned on Market Cast last night.

Michelle
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 12:35PM | Unregistered CommenterAnonymous
can you guys verify if we had 36 million contracts traded on LFG today for .75 Oct call

this looks odd to me
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 12:45PM | Unregistered Commentermahmood
What do you guys think of DIOD today. Pulling back to its prior highs? Good REE entry?
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 12:47PM | Unregistered CommenterTim
I was looking at the nubers on LFG. can someone explain why the volume today shows more put selling than put buying. Is'nt this pattern bearish so one should be buying puts.

On the tos website the oct 60 calls show over 36 million in volume . wassup wid that.

Brian K
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 12:52PM | Unregistered CommenterAnonymous
LFG - I checked Tradestation and E*Trade and neither of them lists Oct 75 calls. I see volume of 210, 87, and 5 for the Oct 50,55, and 65 calls respectively.
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 12:57PM | Unregistered CommenterScoot
sorry i meant Oct 60 calls

Brian K is seeing something also
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 12:59PM | Unregistered Commentermahmood
Jeff,

Good luck at the tryouts!
Amy
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 12:59PM | Unregistered CommenterAmy
Jeff,
Awesome post. It's about time you proved that you're long on your longness. We've been long on you for ages. Nice of you to catch up. This is the type of quantafiable stuff I love to see. It gives me an idea of what can happend when you're in "your groove." I am feeling reasonably groovy myself. I'm tippy toeing around the market right now, but doing reasonably OK, sort of, kind of. But most importantly, I'm feeling good about it.

liz, I'll be watching for you and Grant on your Harley. EXM is still rockin' on. Don't know if it's time to take profits. I'm up about 85% and in this market I don't want to get too greedy. And it's way far away from it's REE now... so I'd say there's a good chance it'll pull back and mull things over for a bit.

Just pulled into Calgary after leaving Newfoundland at 3:50 this morning. Time for a nap.
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:06PM | Unregistered CommenterChris and Catherine
Called Tos and they said 36 million for the LFG oct 60 calls is flat out wrong. They better get a new clerk for that specialist.

Brian K
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:08PM | Unregistered CommenterAnonymous
Brian,

Looking at the 5 and 10 year charts shows that LFG has some decent support at about 45-47. So perhaps some people are taking their profits on their puts after a 16% drop in the stock over the last 3 days. I am just speculating.
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:09PM | Unregistered CommenterScoot
mahmood, are you using TOS as well?
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:11PM | Unregistered CommenterScoot
Jeff - You're right - you rock!! Congrats on the streak - this is way more fun than waiting on some stupid ole lottery ticket ;o)

Chris, welcome to Calgary! Be sure to re-hydrate, you don't want to suffer from heat stroke ;o)

Happy trading all!

Jodi
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:13PM | Unregistered CommenterJodi
NUE...appears to be breaking out. I am not sure what to make of the candle. I know what it means, or at least I think do. I usually see breakout with long white candlesticks.
Any thoughts?
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:14PM | Unregistered CommenterAmy
yes scoot and I looked in Yahoo and could not find the data so it looks false to me also
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:14PM | Unregistered Commentermahmood
Tim (DIOD) - looks like REE to me ... 30 is my REE on that one...
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:19PM | Unregistered CommenterBenton
Congratulations Jeff! I hope to eventually do as well.

Tim, Are you responsible for the programming that highlighted Jeff's comments on the last thread? I like it - now we can clearly see all his comments. Everyone, If you haven't noticed, go back to the previous set of posts and see it.

--Patti
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:21PM | Unregistered CommenterPCurry
Whatchya all doing about JCOM?
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:22PM | Unregistered CommenterJodi
Looks like all you iphone holders will be getting a $100 refund to make up for the $200 price cut that you'll miss out on.
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:23PM | Unregistered CommenterTonya W
Scoot,

I found the answer out from my notes.

Thanks for the response,

Brian K
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:24PM | Unregistered CommenterAnonymous
Jeff,

Just got back from Mexico. I was so glad to read your post. I wish you the best of luck on the tryouts. I know your dreams will come true. We will all be cheering for you.

Anu
Thu, September 6, 2007 at 01:24PM | Unregistered CommenterAnu

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